31 janvier 2014
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31
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IPCC : second assessment climate change 1995
Bon, cela va faire Presque 20 ans. Avait on vu juste ?
« climate is expected du continue to change in the future » (p22)
For the mid-range IPCC emission scenario, IS92a, assuming the
“best estimate” value of climate sensitivity4 and including the
effects of future increases in aerosol, models project an increase in
global mean surface air temperature relative to 1990 of about 2°C
by 2100. This estimate is approximately one-third lower than the
“best estimate” in 1990.
Rien de plus précis. Il faut attendre 2100.
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